Tag Archives: China

Krugman’s War on China

Paul Krugman is calling for war — a trade war on China, that is. He proposes to impose up to a 25% tariff on imports from China to force them to revalue their currency against the dollar, and start chipping away at their $30 billion/month current account surplus.

Quote Of The Day

So I see Paul Krugman has thrown his lot in with the neoconservatives who disdain multilateral institutions and prefer bellicose unilateralism when they confront a frustrating international situation.

Dan Drezner. As I have written before, Krugman deserves his Nobel Prize. But it is exceedingly difficult–at best–to take him seriously as a pundit, or a would-be policymaker. More justly-earned criticism from Free Exchange.

Any Further Commentary Would Be Superfluous

I agree with this post almost completely and entirely. I am not as sanguine as is Amar Bhide is on the issue of immigration and education, but I am on board with everything else in the post. Go read.

The Unemployment Numbers and America’s Jobs Problem

In this week’s edition of Coffee and Markets, we’ll talk about the unemployment numbers released this morning and the debate about America’s jobs problem in the context of declines in education.

Political uncertainty impedes economic growth and job creation

I was thinking about what it would take for China’s economy to get far bigger than it is now, in the context of increasing their per-capita GDP (which is the primary correlate to individual prosperity).

By the back of my envelope, China has one of the most unequal societies on earth, far worse than ours. People who live in certain large cities live almost as well as we do, while hundreds of millions are near starvation. (China also has 500 million cellphone and internet users. We have 300 million total people.)

Anyway, China is trying to grow the same way that Japan and Germany did, through exports aided by an undervalued currency. The fact that our economy is now in secular decline puts a limit on China’s ability to grow this way, in addition to the simple fact that the numbers don’t work. China and India (which is trying to do largely the same thing) are together 2.5 billion people, eight times bigger than we are. Germany and Japan in the Fifties were together about 1.5 times bigger than us, and South Korea in the Sixties a small fraction of that.

300 million Americans all buying Made In China…

China: Not As Strong As Many People Think

I have written before that I don’t think that Chinese power is all that it has been cracked up to be. As the Economist points out, the Chinese seem to be well aware of their power limitations–an awareness that would help explain a lot of their behavior:

Some Chinese economists worry out loud that China’s massive stimulus-spending might have bought the country only a temporary reprieve. Bubbles, they fret, are forming in property markets, inflationary pressure is building up and reforms needed to promote sustained growth (including measures to promote urbanisation) are not being carried out fast enough. Occasionally, even the government’s worst nightmare is mooted as a possibility: stagflation. A combination of fast-rising prices and low growth might indeed be enough to send protesters on to the streets.

Abroad, Chinese leaders are struggling to cope with what they feel to be an accelerated shift in the global balance of power, in China’s favour. This has resulted in what Mr [Russell Leigh] Moses [a political analyst in Beijing--ed.] describes as behaviour ranging from “strutting to outright stumbling”. They reacted with oratorical fury in January, when America announced a $6.4 billion arms deal with Taiwan. But while pandering

So, I Was All Set To Congratulate President Obama For Meeting With The Dalai Lama . . .

And then, I saw this. And read this:

For all of its talk about transparency, the White House shut out the press Thursday when President Barack Obama met with the Dalai Lama.

Instead, Obama met privately with the exiled Tibetan spiritual leader in the Map Room on the ground floor of the White House, far removed from reporters and photographers. Press secretary Robert Gibbs issued only a brief statement after the event, and the White House distributed a single in-house photo of the two leaders.

Typically, when a high-profile foreign dignitary is to meet with the president, photographers and reporters have an opportunity to take pictures and toss a few questions at the president and his guest at the beginning of their Oval Office meeting.

The Dalai Lama, however, is anything but a typical visiting dignitary. The Buddhist monk is viewed as a separatist by the Chinese government and his trips to Washington are always a sensitive matter. His visit forced the administration to balance its desire to avoid inflaming tensions with China with its promises of a new era of transparency in government.

Presidents past also have kept their encounters with the Dalai Lama mostly private.

The Future Is Today: China Gets A Preview of Girl-lessness in Guangdong

It’s just a blurb, but if Beijing is admitting it, that means the problem is getting near the boiling-over point:

Obama Writes Kim Jong Il a License to Terrorize

If words and facts mean what they say, there is no explanation for President Obama’s decision but that his desire to appease Kim Jong Il means more to him than a principled response to terrorism. If it is not the sponsorship of terrorism for North Korea to supply man-portable surface-to-air missiles and rocket-propelled grenades to terrorists — terrorists who may well intend to use them to kill Americans, the law has no meaning, and neither does America’s deterrence of such sponsorship. It is difficult to understand why the President has decided not to list North Korea as a state sponsor of terrorism as the consensus grows that North Korea has recently and repeatedly done precisely this.

Arms and Taiwan: The US Must Respond to China’s Nuclear North Korea

If we’re really serious about putting pressure on China, boosting Taiwan’s security, and giving Taiwan a deterrent that doesn’t depend on the U.S. Navy, then we should quietly assist Taiwan to acquire the technology to develop its own ballistic missiles, and do nothing to discourage its acquisition of nuclear weapons. Just like China did for North Korea.

Chinese Belligerence

As I have discussed in the past, I don’t believe that China is the rising hegemon that many people think it to be.

Coffee and Markets: What Obama’s Big New Bank Fee Means for You

It’s the triumphant return of Coffee and Markets for 2010 with Francis Cianfrocca, brought to you by BigGovernment.com. We’re talking China and Obama’s bank fee on this new edition, which includes an announcement about the future of the broadcast.

- March 21, 2010 -

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